Fourth and Inches

Startup rankings

Every player ordered by what he is worth over the next six seasons, not just this one.

Dynasty value ages this season’s projection over six seasons on a measuredage curve, regresses his rate and availability toward the mean as the horizon lengthens, and discounts each year by the measured chance the player is still fantasy-relevant. All come from nflverse 2012–2025: production is estimated with player fixed effects, so each man is compared against his own career rather than against whoever else happens to be that age. Ages marked * are assumed.

#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VOR	Dynasty value	vs redraft
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	24	176	564	0
2	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	24	156	505	0
3	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	22	116	490	+5
4	Jeremiyah LoveARIR	RB	22*	98	471	+18
5	Puka NacuaLA	WR	25	138	460	−1
6	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	24	124	439	+1
7	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	23	116	435	+3
8	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	23	103	394	+9
9	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	24	115	381	+2
10	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	22	84	377	+16
11	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	26	128	372	−6
12	Brock BowersLV	TE	23	76	367	+22
13	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	26	124	362	−7
14	Malik NabersNYG	WR	23	75	356	+21
15	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	24	105	351	0
16	Rashee RiceKC	WR	26	113	346	−4
17	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	30	153	335	−14
18	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	25	110	325	−5
19	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	24	58	299	+30
20	Breece HallNYJ	RB	25	100	296	−1
21	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	25	99	294	−1
22	Drake LondonATL	WR	25	88	289	+2
23	Bhayshul TutenJAX	RB	23	71	289	+16
24	Trey McBrideARI	TE	26	80	284	+5
25	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	27	116	280	−16
26	Joe BurrowCIN	QB	29	64	279	+17
27	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	23	63	277	+17
28	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	23	61	267	+17
29	James CookBUF	RB	26	103	260	−13
30	George PickensDAL	WR	25	77	252	+2
31	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	22	43	251	+40
32	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	27	87	248	−7
33	Chase BrownCIN	RB	26	98	246	−12
34	Josh JacobsGB	RB	28	107	246	−20
35	Tucker KraftGB	TE	25	53	244	+20
36	Carnell TateTENR	WR	22*	31	244	+47
37	Josh AllenBUF	QB	30	55	230	+16
38	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	27	82	228	−11
39	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	27	81	225	−11
40	Lamar JacksonBAL	QB	29	43	221	+29
41	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	29	100	219	−23
42	Jordyn TysonNOR	WR	22*	24	218	+53
43	Jadarian PriceSEAR	RB	22*	64	214	−1
44	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	22	40	209	+30
45	A.J. BrownNE	WR	29	79	203	−15
46	Chris OlaveNO	WR	26	72	202	−9
47	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	22	37	201	+28
48	George KittleSF	TE	32	43	199	+22
49	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	32	94	197	−26
50	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	26	69	193	−10
51	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	25	42	192	+21
52	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	24	50	191	+5
53	Travis EtienneNO	RB	27	77	184	−22
54	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	27	76	183	−21
55	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	25	43	182	+13
56	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	27	75	182	−20
57	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	24	47	180	+6
58	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	23	37	180	+19
59	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	26	71	180	−21
60	Patrick MahomesKC	QB	30	36	179	+20
61	Dak PrescottDAL	QB	33	44	179	+5
62	Brock PurdySF	QB	26	58	173	−14
63	Jayden DanielsWAS	QB	25	59	172	−16
64	Jalen HurtsPHI	QB	28	37	171	+12
65	Makai LemonPHIR	WR	22*	4	165	+68
66	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	24	41	159	+7
67	KC ConcepcionCLER	WR	22*	7	158	+63
68	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	28	69	157	−27
69	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	25	47	155	−8
70	Jaylen WaddleDEN	WR	27	57	153	−19
71	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	27	56	151	−19
72	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	23	29	150	+15
73	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	25	45	149	−9
74	Christian WatsonGB	WR	27	54	148	−20
75	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	25	44	144	−8
76	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	27	58	138	−26
77	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	24	34	136	+5
78	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	29	60	132	−32
79	Jaxson DartNYG	QB	23	26	129	+13
80	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	27	48	124	−20
81	Kyle PittsATL	TE	25	27	122	+9
82	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	27	49	121	−24
83	Jonathon BrooksCAR	RB	23	21	116	+15
84	Drake MayeNE	QB	23	20	116	+15
85	Omar CooperNYJR	WR	22*	-19	112	+104
86	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	31	52	112	−30
87	Mike EvansSF	WR	32	49	111	−28
88	Kyler MurrayMIN	QB	29	12	109	+29
89	Xavier WorthyKC	WR	23	16	103	+20
90	De'Zhaun StriblingSFR	WR	22*	-26	103	+117
91	Davante AdamsLA	WR	33	47	103	−29
92	Tony PollardTEN	RB	29	45	98	−27
93	Denzel BostonCLER	WR	22*	-17	97	+89
94	Justin HerbertLAC	QB	28	11	95	+27
95	Alec PierceIND	WR	26	28	95	−7
96	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	25	28	95	−7
97	Matthew GoldenGB	WR	23	12	88	+18
98	Chris Godwin Jr.TB	WR	30	37	87	−20
99	Travis KelceKC	TE	36	31	87	−14
100	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	24	20	86	0
101	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	28	35	86	−20
102	Caleb WilliamsCHI	QB	24	19	86	−1
103	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	29	36	85	−24
104	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	24	19	84	−2
105	Daniel JonesIND	QB	29	2	81	+34
107	Germie BernardPITR	WR	22*	-37	79	+142
108	Kenyon SadiqNYJR	TE	22*	4	78	+29
110	Baker MayfieldTB	QB	31	5	77	+21
111	Trevor LawrenceJAX	QB	26	21	76	−14
112	Keon ColemanBUF	WR	23	9	75	+11
113	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	30	15	74	−2
114	DJ MooreBUF	WR	29	31	71	−30
115	Bo NixDEN	QB	26	17	68	−10
116	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	30	30	66	−30
117	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	23	5	65	+15
118	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	31	13	64	−5
119	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	27	19	64	−16
120	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	25	11	63	−1
121	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	23	-3	62	+28
122	Jayden ReedGB	WR	26	26	61	−29
123	Antonio WilliamsWASR	WR	22*	-16	59	+57
124	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	25	15	59	−14
125	Tank DellHOU	WR	26	23	59	−29
126	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	30	26	57	−35
127	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	28	25	57	−33
128	Dylan SampsonCLE	RB	21	-18	56	+57
129	Jaydon BlueDAL	RB	22	-5	52	+25
130	Braelon AllenNYJ	RB	22	-7	49	+31
133	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	26	12	46	−17
134	Tre TuckerLV	WR	25	13	46	−22
136	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	24	4	45	−1
137	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	24	4	43	−3
140	Matthew StaffordLA	QB	38	-6	41	+18
141	Tyler ShoughNO	QB	26	8	41	−15
142	Jalen CokerCAR	WR	24	7	40	−13
143	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	27	17	40	−37
144	Josh DownsIND	WR	25	11	40	−26
150	Stefon DiggsWAS	WR	32	18	37	−46
151	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	29	3	36	−13
152	Deebo Samuel Sr.SF	WR	30	17	36	−45
153	Michael PittmanPIT	WR	28	17	36	−45
157	Jared GoffDET	QB	31	-10	32	+7
160	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	24	-10	30	+7
163	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	30	-1	28	−15
164	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	29	-0	26	−21
165	Jauan JenningsMIN	WR	29	13	26	−51
167	Isiah PachecoDET	RB	27	11	25	−47
168	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	27	7	25	−40
169	DJ GiddensIND	RB	22	-25	25	+33
173	Romeo DoubsNE	WR	26	9	20	−51
174	Jayden HigginsHOU	WR	23	-8	20	−12
175	Michael WilsonARI	WR	26	9	19	−51
176	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	26	8	19	−51
178	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	27	8	18	−51
179	Jaylen WrightMIA	RB	23	-19	17	+7
181	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	22	-24	16	+19
186	Evan EngramDEN	TE	31	-5	14	−33
204	Hunter HenryNE	TE	31	-6	12	−45
209	Jalen McMillanTB	WR	24	-1	11	−63
210	Deshaun WatsonCLE	QB	30	-10	11	−44
212	C.J. StroudHOU	QB	24	-10	10	−47
213	Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	RB	26	4	9	−77
214	Gunnar HelmTEN	TE	23	-28	9	−1
216	Elic AyomanorTEN	WR	23	-14	9	−39
218	Cam WardTEN	QB	24	-11	8	−45
219	MarShawn LloydGB	RB	25	-1	8	−72
220	Tank BigsbyPHI	RB	23	-35	8	+20
223	Greg DulcichMIA	TE	26	0	7	−81
225	Jalen NailorLV	WR	27	1	7	−85
226	Rashid ShaheedSEA	WR	27	1	7	−85
228	Sam DarnoldSEA	QB	29	-35	6	+14
231	Cade OttonTB	TE	27	-1	6	−87
232	Jordan LoveGB	QB	27	-21	6	−38
235	Tua TagovailoaATL	QB	28	-31	4	−11
236	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	31	-1	4	−91
237	Malik WillisMIA	QB	27	-14	4	−61
243	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	25	-5	2	−92
248	Geno SmithNYJ	QB	35	-29	1	−30
250	Blake CorumLA	RB	25	-7	1	−90
254	Cooper KuppSEA	WR	33	-5	1	−102
255	James ConnerARI	RB	31	-5	0	−105
256	Brian RobinsonATL	RB	27	-6	0	−101
257	Darnell MooneyNYG	WR	28	-6	0	−101
258	Justice HillBAL	RB	28	-6	0	−101
259	Chig OkonkwoWAS	TE	26	-8	0	−96
260	Xavier LegetteCAR	WR	25	-11	0	−92
261	Calvin RidleyTEN	WR	31	-11	0	−92
262	Kayshon BoutteNE	WR	24	-11	0	−92
263	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	26	-11	0	−92
264	Jordan MasonMIN	RB	27	-12	0	−90
265	Rashod BatemanBAL	WR	26	-13	0	−90
266	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	27	-15	0	−87
268	Emari DemercadoKC	RB	27	-17	0	−85
269	Malik WashingtonMIA	WR	25	-17	0	−85
271	Isaiah LikelyNYG	TE	26	-19	0	−83
272	Woody MarksHOU	RB	25	-19	0	−82
274	Tyler ConklinDET	TE	26	-20	0	−82
275	Samaje PerineCIN	RB	30	-21	0	−82
276	Darius SlaytonNYG	WR	29	-22	0	−81
277	Calvin Austin IIINYG	WR	27	-22	0	−81
278	Cole KmetCHI	TE	27	-22	0	−81
279	Josh PalmerBUF	WR	26	-24	0	−81
280	Jacoby BrissettARI	QB	33	-24	0	−81
281	DeMario DouglasNE	WR	25	-25	0	−80
282	Dontayvion WicksPHI	WR	25	-26	0	−79
283	Ray DavisBUF	RB	26	-26	0	−79
287	Tyler AllgeierARI	RB	26	-27	0	−78
288	Devaughn VeleNO	WR	28	-27	0	−78
291	Marvin Mims Jr.DEN	WR	24	-28	0	−77
294	Bryce YoungCAR	QB	25	-28	0	−77
299	Kirk CousinsLV	QB	37	-30	0	−76
300	Chimere DikeTEN	WR	24	-31	0	−75
306	Andrei IosivasCIN	WR	26	-33	0	−75
309	Colby ParkinsonLA	TE	27	-33	0	−74
310	Olamide ZaccheausATL	WR	29	-34	0	−74
319	Adonai MitchellNYJ	WR	23	-37	0	−71
323	Aaron RodgersPIT	QB	42	-38	0	−70
330	Ty JohnsonBUF	RB	28	-39	0	−68
331	Tre HarrisLAC	WR	24	-39	0	−71
338	Jerome FordWAS	RB	26	-40	0	−70
391	Hunter LuepkeDAL	RB	26*	-47	0	−67
418	Trey LanceLAC	QB	26	-51	0	−67
440	Anthony RichardsonIND	QB	24	-54	0	−64
444	Michael Penix Jr.ATL	QB	26	-55	0	−64
544	Jameis WinstonNYG	QB	32	-65	0	−58
545	Mitchell TrubiskyTEN	QB	31	-65	0	−58
553	Marcus MariotaWAS	QB	32	-66	0	−57
596	Justin FieldsKC	QB	27	-76	0	−47
600	Zach WilsonNO	QB	27	-77	0	−47
617	J.J. McCarthyMIN	QB	23	-79	0	−46
643	Kenny PickettCAR	QB	28	-86	0	−43
648	Joe FlaccoCIN	QB	41	-90	0	−39
660	Mac JonesSF	QB	27	-98	0	−20
673	Will LevisTEN	QB	27	-110	0	−10