Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE

RB26 · overall #41 · tier 6 · age 28

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Projected points

163

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

69

repl 110

Range

116–209

sd 47

Week

8.8

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.7
Carries / game
12.8
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
53
Rush TD / game
0.45
Rec TD / game
0.07
Total TD / game
0.52
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.915
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.93
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
+0.50
Flip edge
-1.43
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.46

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

162.8

Per game

11.63

17-gm pace

198

Best / worst

34.3 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.7715032120
218.71154055880
33.1418033380
44.693801130
513.7714222130
61.8131801000
715.8188812200
85.41434021150
121.56502150
139.51240033400
159.2650033270
1616.8851132270
1724.7847155551
1834.37131222221