RB
Saquon Barkley
PHIRB7 · overall #18 · tier 2 · age 29
Projected points
206
13.3/gm
Value over replacement
100
repl 110
Range
162–250
sd 44
Week
14.7
vs WAS
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.3
- Carries / game
- 14.6
- Receptions / game
- 2.5
- Rec yards / game
- 18
- Rush yards / game
- 69
- Rush TD / game
- 0.53
- Rec TD / game
- 0.09
- Total TD / game
- 0.63
- Games projected
- 15.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.1
- Games of history
- 62
- Age multiplier
- 0.895
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.42
- OL pass protection
- +1.23
- OL continuity
- 93%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.89
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 14
- Effective contributors
- 1.61
- Top player's share
- 77%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.31
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- WAS,TEN,CHI
- Window matchup
- +0.39
- Opponents after
- LA,JAX,CAR
- After matchup
- +0.01
- Flip edge
- +0.38
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.25
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
16
Points
213.8
Per game
13.36
17-gm pace
227
Best / worst
31.4 / 4.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16.4 | 18 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 0 |
| 2 | 16.4 | 22 | 88 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.5 | 18 | 46 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | 15.4 | 19 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 5 | 16.3 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 1 |
| 6 | 7.7 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.7 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 8 | 31.4 | 14 | 150 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
| 10 | 11.6 | 22 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.5 | 26 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | 8.9 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 | 5.6 | 13 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 18.2 | 20 | 122 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 16.2 | 22 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 | 21.2 | 21 | 132 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.8 | 19 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |