Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Calvin Ridley

TEN

WR75 · overall #169 · tier 10 · age 31

← back to rankings

Projected points

83

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 115

Range

3–164

sd 80

Week

5.4

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
2.8
Rec yards / game
36
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.2
Games of history
41
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.3
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.43
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYJ,PHI,NYG
Window matchup
-0.40
Opponents after
BAL,HOU,IND
After matchup
-0.34
Flip edge
-0.06
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.12

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

7

Points

38.8

Per game

5.54

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

15.6 / 1.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.78427000
27.26357000
33.27127000
44.03230000
515.6105131000
62.31118000
111.81113000