Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Jordan Love

GB

QB23 · overall #194 · tier 7 · age 27

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Projected points

198

14.8/gm

Value over replacement

-21

repl 261

Range

162–235

sd 37

Week

11.2

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
29.0
Pass yards / game
212
Pass TD / game
1.46
Carries / game
2.6
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.09
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.8
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.4
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.65
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIN,NYJ,ATL
Window matchup
+0.34
Opponents after
TB,CHI,DAL
After matchup
+0.59
Flip edge
-0.25
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

235.1

Per game

15.68

17-gm pace

266

Best / worst

28.3 / 3.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
115.9162218820340
220.91931292203120
311.11825183114180
426.33143337303280
615.01926259117260
713.41929179104220
828.32937360301-10
99.0263727301110
107.82036176005280
1117.7132417420270
127.11421139003150
1325.8183023440540
1419.31725234311-10
1513.92440276123290
163.88137700270