Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Jordan Love

GB

QB21 · overall #163 · tier 5 · age 27

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Projected points

205

15.3/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 250

Range

168–241

sd 37

Week

15.7

@ TB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
30.0
Pass yards / game
220
Pass TD / game
1.51
Carries / game
2.6
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.09
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.8
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.5
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.62
OL pass protection
-0.44
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.91
Scheme creativity
+0.54
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TB,CHI,DAL
Window matchup
+0.50
Opponents after
DET,CAR,NE
After matchup
-0.17
Flip edge
+0.67
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.15

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

235.1

Per game

15.68

17-gm pace

266

Best / worst

28.3 / 3.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
115.9QB17162218820340
220.9QB111931292203120
311.1QB261825183114180
426.3QB53143337303280
615.0QB191926259117260
713.4QB161929179104220
828.3QB12937360301-10
99.0QB24263727301110
107.8QB222036176005280
1117.7QB7132417420270
127.1QB261421139003150
1325.8QB2183023440540
1419.3QB111725234311-10
1513.9QB232440276123290
163.8QB308137700270