Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Darnell Mooney

NYG

WR62 · overall #156 · tier 10 · age 28

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Projected points

95

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-6

repl 115

Range

14–176

sd 81

Week

6.5

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.3
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
41
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.8
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.65
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.01
Flip edge
-0.36
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.53

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

66.3

Per game

4.42

17-gm pace

75

Best / worst

14.9 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
23.04220000
36.411444000
42.01115000
78.35368000
81.64111000
92.02115000
102.28117000
114.97334000
1214.93374100
133.55225000
141.1416000
155.06335000
163.42224000
174.53235000
183.57320000