Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Terry McLaurin

WAS

WR38 · overall #91 · tier 8 · age 30

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Projected points

126

9.0/gm

Value over replacement

26

repl 115

Range

83–170

sd 44

Week

7.3

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.2
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.9
Rec yards / game
51
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.35
Total TD / game
0.35
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.83
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.20
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PHI,DAL,SEA
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
IND,NYG,SF
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
-0.38
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.47

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

95.2

Per game

9.52

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

19.1 / 3.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.74227000
27.39548000
38.94374000
812.94354100
1319.114796100
145.66341000
1514.44369100
166.84353000
178.87563000
187.74457000