Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Trey McBride

ARI

TE1 · overall #29 · tier 1 · age 26

← back to rankings

Projected points

185

12.2/gm

Value over replacement

80

repl 111

Range

141–228

sd 44

Week

10.0

@ LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
9.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
6.7
Rec yards / game
66
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.37
Total TD / game
0.38
Games projected
15.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.0
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.66
OL pass protection
-0.78
OL continuity
0%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
13
Effective contributors
1.58
Top player's share
78%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LAC,SEA,SF
Window matchup
-1.32
Opponents after
NYG,DET,LA
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
-0.85
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.01

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

252.9

Per game

14.88

17-gm pace

253

Best / worst

31.4 / 4.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
19.196610
210.876780
312.885431
48.7117520
56.675410
617.2118721
724.41310742
914.095551
1023.21391271
1122.511101151
1212.4109790
1318.298821
148.395580
1531.413121342
164.784270
1718.61310761
1810.087650