Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

MarShawn Lloyd

GB

RB61 · overall #147 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

67

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 110

Range

51–83

sd 16

Week

3.9

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.1
Carries / game
8.6
Receptions / game
1.6
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
34
Rush TD / game
0.20
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.8
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.4
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.65
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
35
Effective contributors
2.10
Top player's share
61%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.37

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIN,NYJ,ATL
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
TB,CHI,DAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
+0.25
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.32

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for MarShawn Lloyd — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.