Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Bhayshul Tuten

JAX

RB23 · overall #39 · tier 6 · age 23

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Projected points

167

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

71

repl 110

Range

144–190

sd 23

Week

10.6

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.5
Carries / game
13.4
Receptions / game
1.9
Rec yards / game
14
Rush yards / game
52
Rush TD / game
0.44
Rec TD / game
0.18
Total TD / game
0.62
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
-0.07
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
+0.00
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.29

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

83.6

Per game

5.57

17-gm pace

95

Best / worst

14.4 / -1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.131100000
214.4842022321
38.162111000
42.741401180
51.64601150
63.8214032140
72.252200000
99.1929111-30
101.54502150
1113.4157410000
121.771701000
138.481711120
14-1.52500000
158.817011161
188.352310000