Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Deshaun Watson

CLE

QB31 · overall #166 · tier 7 · age 30

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Projected points

155

15.3/gm

Value over replacement

-10

repl 261

Range

119–190

sd 35

Week

8.3

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
32.1
Pass yards / game
210
Pass TD / game
1.34
Carries / game
4.6
Rush yards / game
20
Rush TD / game
0.15
Games projected
10.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.1
Games of history
19
Age multiplier
0.981
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.88
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.06
Flip edge
-0.83
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Deshaun Watson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.