Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Sam LaPorta

DET

TE8 · overall #68 · tier 2 · age 25

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Projected points

136

10.2/gm

Value over replacement

43

repl 111

Range

95–178

sd 42

Week

9.4

vs NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.5
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.8
Rec yards / game
51
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.46
Total TD / game
0.46
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.2
Games of history
42
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.86
OL pass protection
+0.77
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.25
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
60
Effective contributors
2.79
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NO,BUF,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.67
Opponents after
CAR,ARI
After matchup
+0.76
Flip edge
-0.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

86.9

Per game

9.66

17-gm pace

164

Best / worst

18.7 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.996790
24.143260
35.344330
45.443390
517.765921
614.065551
73.033150
918.786971
107.855530