QB
Zach Wilson
NOQB36 · overall #553 · tier 9 · age 27
Projected points
95
9.0/gm
Value over replacement
-77
repl 261
Range
57–133
sd 38
Week
5.8
@ DET
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 21.8
- Pass yards / game
- 152
- Pass TD / game
- 0.84
- Carries / game
- 1.7
- Rush yards / game
- 8
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 10.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.0
- Games of history
- 25
- Age multiplier
- 1.025
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.09
- OL pass protection
- +0.23
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.31
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DET,BAL,LV
- Window matchup
- -0.20
- Opponents after
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- After matchup
- -0.06
- Flip edge
- -0.14
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.82
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
4
Points
1.4
Per game
0.35
17-gm pace
6
Best / worst
1.6 / -0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.6 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |