Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Zach Wilson

NO

QB37 · overall #368 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

67

8.9/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 250

Range

25–108

sd 41

Week

1.9

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
21.6
Pass yards / game
150
Pass TD / game
0.83
Carries / game
1.7
Rush yards / game
8
Rush TD / game
0.03
Games projected
7.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.0
Games of history
25
Age multiplier
1.025
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.03
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

1.4

Per game

0.35

17-gm pace

6

Best / worst

1.6 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
11.6QB33583200130
80.0QB3211000000
14-0.2QB33000002-20
180.0QB4002000000