WR
Matthew Golden
GBWR55 · overall #115 · tier 9 · age 23
Projected points
113
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
12
repl 115
Range
81–144
sd 32
Week
6.4
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.0
- Carries / game
- 0.9
- Receptions / game
- 3.8
- Rec yards / game
- 47
- Rush yards / game
- 5
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.16
- Total TD / game
- 0.16
- Games projected
- 14.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.3
- Games of history
- 14
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.4
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.65
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 5.34
- Top player's share
- 30%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- MIN,NYJ,ATL
- Window matchup
- +0.38
- Opponents after
- TB,CHI,DAL
- After matchup
- +0.40
- Flip edge
- -0.02
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.10
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
14
Points
55.5
Per game
3.96
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
11.7 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | 8.8 | 6 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | 11.7 | 5 | 3 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | 5.7 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.9 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 7.0 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |