Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Parker Washington

JAX

WR35 · overall #82 · tier 7 · age 24

← back to rankings

Projected points

135

9.6/gm

Value over replacement

34

repl 115

Range

86–184

sd 49

Week

8.6

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.7
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
4.1
Rec yards / game
53
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.36
Total TD / game
0.36
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.9
Games of history
38
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
-0.43
Flip edge
+0.47
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.23

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

155.7

Per game

9.73

17-gm pace

165

Best / worst

23.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0000000
210.15576000
35.411434000
45.920001-1
58.63216100
63.94229000
78.2104520310
913.09890000
1016.4733312-4
113.02220000
1215.67571100
133.13126000
156.83353000
1623.5106145100
1715.010811501-5
1817.29587100