Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Daniel Jones

IND

QB24 · overall #139 · tier 7 · age 29

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Projected points

198

16.5/gm

Value over replacement

2

repl 261

Range

161–235

sd 37

Week

12.3

vs BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
30.8
Pass yards / game
225
Pass TD / game
1.20
Carries / game
5.4
Rush yards / game
23
Rush TD / game
0.27
Games projected
12.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.8
Games of history
45
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.78
OL pass protection
+0.85
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BAL,KC,HOU
Window matchup
-0.69
Opponents after
WAS,PIT,TEN
After matchup
+0.84
Flip edge
-1.53
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

226.4

Per game

17.42

17-gm pace

296

Best / worst

29.5 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
129.52229272107262
222.8233431610621
315.81825228104270
410.42433262121-10
516.7202921220120
622.52230212215201
722.2233428820570
823.2212927230130
914.1315034213341
1015.51926255117530
1216.81931181203160
1316.1142720120110
140.8576001140