Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Quentin Johnston

LAC

WR42 · overall #102 · tier 8 · age 24

← back to rankings

Projected points

122

8.5/gm

Value over replacement

19

repl 115

Range

66–178

sd 56

Week

9.1

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.6
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.4
Rec yards / game
45
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.38
Total TD / game
0.38
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.5
Games of history
45
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.89
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+0.74
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.93
Flip edge
+1.67
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

145.7

Per game

11.21

17-gm pace

191

Best / worst

22.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
122.47579200
214.4737111-2
311.99689000
419.813898100
54.94440019
710.06230100
913.36453100
106.710542000
110.0300000
139.83323100
141.8328000
1618.454104100
1712.38598000