Fourth and Inches

Startup rankings

Every player ordered by what he is worth over the next six seasons, not just this one.

Dynasty value ages this season’s projection over six seasons on a measuredage curve, regresses his rate and availability toward the mean as the horizon lengthens, and discounts each year by the measured chance the player is still fantasy-relevant. All come from nflverse 2012–2025: production is estimated with player fixed effects, so each man is compared against his own career rather than against whoever else happens to be that age. Ages marked * are assumed.

#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VOR	Dynasty value	vs redraft
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	24	176	564	0
2	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	24	156	505	0
3	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	22	116	490	+5
4	Jeremiyah LoveARIR	RB	22*	98	471	+18
7	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	23	116	435	+3
8	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	23	103	394	+9
9	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	24	115	381	+2
10	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	22	84	377	+16
15	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	24	105	351	0
17	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	30	153	335	−14
18	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	25	110	325	−5
20	Breece HallNYJ	RB	25	100	296	−1
21	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	25	99	294	−1
23	Bhayshul TutenJAX	RB	23	71	289	+16
25	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	27	116	280	−16
29	James CookBUF	RB	26	103	260	−13
33	Chase BrownCIN	RB	26	98	246	−12
34	Josh JacobsGB	RB	28	107	246	−20
41	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	29	100	219	−23
43	Jadarian PriceSEAR	RB	22*	64	214	−1
49	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	32	94	197	−26
51	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	25	42	192	+21
53	Travis EtienneNO	RB	27	77	184	−22
54	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	27	76	183	−21
56	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	27	75	182	−20
58	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	23	37	180	+19
59	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	26	71	180	−21
68	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	28	69	157	−27
76	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	27	58	138	−26
78	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	29	60	132	−32
82	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	27	49	121	−24
83	Jonathon BrooksCAR	RB	23	21	116	+15
86	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	31	52	112	−30
92	Tony PollardTEN	RB	29	45	98	−27
96	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	25	28	95	−7
124	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	25	15	59	−14
127	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	28	25	57	−33
128	Dylan SampsonCLE	RB	21	-18	56	+57
129	Jaydon BlueDAL	RB	22	-5	52	+25
130	Braelon AllenNYJ	RB	22	-7	49	+31
136	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	24	4	45	−1
137	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	24	4	43	−3
143	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	27	17	40	−37
167	Isiah PachecoDET	RB	27	11	25	−47
169	DJ GiddensIND	RB	22	-25	25	+33
178	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	27	8	18	−51
179	Jaylen WrightMIA	RB	23	-19	17	+7
213	Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	RB	26	4	9	−77
219	MarShawn LloydGB	RB	25	-1	8	−72
220	Tank BigsbyPHI	RB	23	-35	8	+20
236	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	31	-1	4	−91
243	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	25	-5	2	−92
250	Blake CorumLA	RB	25	-7	1	−90
255	James ConnerARI	RB	31	-5	0	−105
256	Brian RobinsonATL	RB	27	-6	0	−101
258	Justice HillBAL	RB	28	-6	0	−101
263	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	26	-11	0	−92
264	Jordan MasonMIN	RB	27	-12	0	−90
268	Emari DemercadoKC	RB	27	-17	0	−85
272	Woody MarksHOU	RB	25	-19	0	−82
275	Samaje PerineCIN	RB	30	-21	0	−82
283	Ray DavisBUF	RB	26	-26	0	−79
287	Tyler AllgeierARI	RB	26	-27	0	−78
330	Ty JohnsonBUF	RB	28	-39	0	−68
338	Jerome FordWAS	RB	26	-40	0	−70
391	Hunter LuepkeDAL	RB	26*	-47	0	−67