Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Jacoby Brissett

ARI

QB30 · overall #199 · tier 7 · age 33

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Projected points

164

14.3/gm

Value over replacement

-24

repl 261

Range

127–201

sd 37

Week

8.7

@ LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
30.7
Pass yards / game
211
Pass TD / game
1.30
Carries / game
2.7
Rush yards / game
12
Rush TD / game
0.08
Games projected
11.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.0
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
0.958
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.66
OL pass protection
-0.78
OL continuity
0%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LAC,SEA,SF
Window matchup
-1.47
Opponents after
NYG,DET,LA
After matchup
-0.27
Flip edge
-1.20
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.29

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

227.4

Per game

16.25

17-gm pace

276

Best / worst

24.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
20.200000120
50.001000000
620.72744320213190
719.82536279206260
924.8213126120541
1019.42244258204310
1121.94757452222-20
1218.73349317103200
1319.62940301213160
1419.02544271214220
1520.6274024931360
1610.6163120311150
1716.5213721220000
1815.62231243213190