Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Brock Purdy

SF

QB10 · overall #48 · tier 3 · age 26

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Projected points

264

21.0/gm

Value over replacement

58

repl 261

Range

223–305

sd 41

Week

16.4

@ LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
37.4
Pass yards / game
286
Pass TD / game
2.01
Carries / game
4.6
Rush yards / game
19
Rush TD / game
0.29
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
17.9
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.5
Projected plays / game
59.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.00
OL pass protection
-0.53
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
17%
3WR rate
45%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.62
Scheme creativity
+0.36
Play action / motion
23% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LA,MIA,ARI
Window matchup
+1.22
Opponents after
DEN,SEA,WAS
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
+1.47
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-1.11

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

177.4

Per game

19.71

17-gm pace

335

Best / worst

36.9 / 5.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
116.82635277225170
417.72238309222130
1119.31926200301-70
127.32332193136160
1317.1162916810241
1526.22330295307440
1630.92534295512110
1736.92433303316282
185.21927127012210