Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jerry Jeudy

CLE

WR66 · overall #179 · tier 10 · age 27

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Projected points

93

6.2/gm

Value over replacement

-15

repl 115

Range

18–169

sd 76

Week

5.1

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.0
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
37
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.18
Total TD / game
0.18
Games projected
15.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.98
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.12
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.14

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

95.7

Per game

5.63

17-gm pace

96

Best / worst

16.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
19.18566000
27.18451000
32.25117000
46.39348000
52.55215000
66.813543000
72.74217000
80.0200000
1016.812678100
113.67321000
122.43139000
134.14326000
1415.15376100
153.24222000
162.74312000
177.97554000
183.26217015