Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jauan Jennings

MIN

WR51 · overall #114 · tier 9 · age 29

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Projected points

114

8.1/gm

Value over replacement

13

repl 115

Range

47–181

sd 67

Week

7.0

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.5
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
3.5
Rec yards / game
43
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.38
Total TD / game
0.38
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.03
OL pass protection
+0.12
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.77
Scheme creativity
+0.21
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
56
Effective contributors
2.95
Top player's share
48%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.66

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
GB,CHI,TB
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
MIA,NO
After matchup
+0.70
Flip edge
-0.93
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.66

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

145.8

Per game

9.72

17-gm pace

165

Best / worst

17.4 / 1.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
12.65216000
217.410589100
45.44224000
61.2317000
75.17431000
86.57445000
912.15441100
1014.19671100
117.46454000
1212.67541100
1311.96439100
1517.25337200
1615.66571100
1711.24242100
185.56435000