WR
George Pickens
DALWR10 · overall #32 · tier 3 · age 25
Projected points
184
12.3/gm
Value over replacement
77
repl 115
Range
124–243
sd 59
Week
12.0
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 8.1
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 5.0
- Rec yards / game
- 73
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.01
- Rec TD / game
- 0.43
- Total TD / game
- 0.44
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.7
- Games of history
- 65
- Age multiplier
- 1.026
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.16
- OL pass protection
- +0.01
- OL continuity
- 92%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.34
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.92
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYG,WAS,BAL
- Window matchup
- +0.75
- Opponents after
- HOU,TB,GB
- After matchup
- -0.19
- Flip edge
- +0.93
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.36
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
245.4
Per game
14.44
17-gm pace
245
Best / worst
29.4 / 1.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.5 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 15.3 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 15.3 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 29.4 | 11 | 8 | 134 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 12.7 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 27.3 | 11 | 9 | 168 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 10.2 | 6 | 4 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 11.3 | 9 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 10.9 | 9 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 24.9 | 11 | 9 | 144 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 25.1 | 9 | 9 | 146 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 13.8 | 13 | 6 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 6.2 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 22.5 | 9 | 7 | 130 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.8 | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |