Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Xavier Legette

CAR

WR65 · overall #168 · tier 10 · age 25

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Projected points

94

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 115

Range

48–139

sd 45

Week

5.8

vs CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.0
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
34
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.24
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.7
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.31
OL pass protection
+0.20
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.67
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.79
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CHI,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
DET,PHI
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
+0.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.35

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

71.8

Per game

4.79

17-gm pace

81

Best / worst

19.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
12.57310000
20.381-2010
510.13231100
62.12211000
719.711992100
82.73217000
92.73122000
100.0100000
1116.38483100
123.75322000
130.6211000
154.93239000
161.73112000
170.8113000
183.74322000