Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Mike Washington

LVROOKIE R4

RB83 · overall #476 · tier

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Projected points

39

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-63

repl 110

Range

21–57

sd 18

Week

2.5

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
3.0
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
13
Rush TD / game
0.10
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.12
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
47
Effective contributors
1.32
Top player's share
87%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.51
Flip edge
+0.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.28

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Mike Washington — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.