Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Rashid Shaheed

SEA

WR63 · overall #141 · tier 10 · age 27

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Projected points

95

7.3/gm

Value over replacement

1

repl 115

Range

60–130

sd 35

Week

6.4

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.5
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
41
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.11
OL pass protection
+0.37
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.58
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NE,ARI,WAS
Window matchup
+1.28
Opponents after
LAC,SF,DEN
After matchup
-0.51
Flip edge
+1.79
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

18

Points

127.1

Per game

7.06

17-gm pace

120

Best / worst

19.4 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.39633000
213.25452100
36.26442000
47.25447025
519.454114100
64.86428000
76.09440000
810.012975000
99.39568000
102.81130220
113.95227012
120.5200015
132.1317019
1414.75467000
159.6757401-3
169.11000131
171.3118000
180.7112000