WR
Keon Coleman
BUFWR54 · overall #121 · tier 9 · age 23
Projected points
107
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
8
repl 119
Range
67–147
sd 40
Week
6.5
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 5.4
- Carries / game
- 0.3
- Receptions / game
- 3.2
- Rec yards / game
- 44
- Rush yards / game
- 2
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.32
- Total TD / game
- 0.32
- Games projected
- 13.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.4
- Games of history
- 25
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.32
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.97
- Scheme creativity
- +0.23
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.79
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NE,LA,LV
- Window matchup
- +0.72
- Opponents after
- BAL,MIN
- After matchup
- -0.41
- Flip edge
- +1.13
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.44
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
12
Points
83.4
Per game
6.95
17-gm pace
118
Best / worst
21.2 / 2.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.2 | WR4 | 11 | 8 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.1 | WR79 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 6.0 | WR49 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 8.3 | WR42 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.6 | WR79 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 4.5 | WR58 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.7 | WR68 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 12.1 | WR26 | 8 | 3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 7.9 | WR38 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.6 | WR72 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 7.9 | WR26 | 4 | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |