Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Travis Etienne

NO

RB19 · overall #31 · tier 5 · age 27

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Projected points

185

11.8/gm

Value over replacement

77

repl 110

Range

119–250

sd 65

Week

11.3

@ DET

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.5
Carries / game
13.5
Receptions / game
2.7
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
56
Rush TD / game
0.39
Rec TD / game
0.11
Total TD / game
0.50
Games projected
15.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.6
Games of history
66
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.09
OL pass protection
+0.23
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.31
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.59
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DET,BAL,LV
Window matchup
-0.30
Opponents after
ATL,MIN,NYG
After matchup
+0.35
Flip edge
-0.65
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.75

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

235.9

Per game

13.88

17-gm pace

236

Best / worst

30.0 / 4.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
117.116143033130
215.91471032181
311.6165612000
419.01912412110
57.3124904390
67.51227054280
76.0844031110
914.02284055310
1014.71658142190
1119.3197322000
1219.11586043301
134.61228011130
1420.7207421180
1530.01232043733
1614.61650054161
1710.21776032160
184.3143201160