Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Cade Otton

TB

TE19 · overall #144 · tier 6 · age 27

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Projected points

100

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 111

Range

73–127

sd 27

Week

7.0

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.4
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.8
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
-0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.20
Total TD / game
0.20
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.2
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.88
OL pass protection
+1.32
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
2
Effective contributors
1.12
Top player's share
94%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.13

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CIN,CLE,MIN
Window matchup
+0.08
Opponents after
GB,DAL,PIT
After matchup
+0.22
Flip edge
-0.14
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.09

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

92.7

Per game

6.18

17-gm pace

105

Best / worst

18.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.03000
24.043250
42.44390
510.154810
67.665510
710.097650
86.054400
1012.7129820
113.852280
124.174210
131.92290
143.443190
162.522150
175.344330
1818.997941