Cade Otton

TE22 · overall #145 · tier 5 · age 27

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Projected points

101

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 112

Range

74–128

sd 27

Week

5.2

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 5.4
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 3.8
Rec yards / game: 38
Rush yards / game: -0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.20
Total TD / game: 0.20
Games projected: 14.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 8.2
Games of history: 62
Age multiplier: 1.010
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.6
Projected plays / game: 62.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.87
OL pass protection: +1.31
OL continuity: 80%
2TE rate: 22%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 44%
Run friendly: +0.51
Scheme creativity: -0.17
Play action / motion: 17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 2
Effective contributors: 1.12
Top player's share: 94%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.13

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup: -0.15
Opponents after: CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup: +0.03
Flip edge: -0.18
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.01

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

92.7

Per game

6.18

17-gm pace

105

Best / worst

18.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	TE61	3	0	0	0
2	4.0	TE33	4	3	25	0
4	2.4	TE38	4	3	9	0
5	10.1	TE14	5	4	81	0
6	7.6	TE20	6	5	51	0
7	10.0	TE14	9	7	65	0
8	6.0	TE17	5	4	40	0
10	12.7	TE6	12	9	82	0
11	3.8	TE27	5	2	28	0
12	4.1	TE25	7	4	21	0
13	1.9	TE43	2	2	9	0
14	3.4	TE24	4	3	19	0
16	2.5	TE41	2	2	15	0
17	5.3	TE24	4	4	33	0
18	18.9	TE2	9	7	94	1