Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Colston Loveland

CHI

TE5 · overall #74 · tier 2 · age 22

← back to rankings

Projected points

141

9.7/gm

Value over replacement

40

repl 111

Range

98–184

sd 43

Week

8.9

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.6
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
4.7
Rec yards / game
51
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.36
Total TD / game
0.36
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.37
OL pass protection
+1.06
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.60
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
33
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CAR,MIN,PHI
Window matchup
-0.34
Opponents after
NYJ,GB,ATL
After matchup
+0.27
Flip edge
-0.60
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.16

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

136.1

Per game

8.51

17-gm pace

145

Best / worst

26.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.222120
20.01000
33.631310
62.132110
73.943240
85.353380
926.8761182
107.544550
115.543400
1212.954491
134.363280
1410.954291
158.154630
164.553300
1718.4106941
1820.11310911