Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Hunter Henry

NE

TE21 · overall #159 · tier 6 · age 31

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Projected points

97

6.5/gm

Value over replacement

-6

repl 111

Range

68–127

sd 29

Week

5.5

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.7
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.3
Rec yards / game
34
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.28
Total TD / game
0.28
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.60
Top player's share
76%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.21

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.10
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
-0.00
Flip edge
-0.10
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.38

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

148.8

Per game

8.75

17-gm pace

149

Best / worst

25.0 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.684660
21.43190
325.0118902
410.922391
55.642460
64.233270
75.354330
87.21171
97.164510
101.44190
116.564450
1221.01071151
139.364730
152.331180
1612.576351
1712.433491
188.155560