Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jakobi Meyers

JAX

WR31 · overall #79 · tier 7 · age 29

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Projected points

140

9.7/gm

Value over replacement

36

repl 115

Range

93–186

sd 46

Week

8.9

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.9
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
4.5
Rec yards / game
53
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.04
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.34
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
-0.43
Flip edge
+0.47
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.23

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

138.3

Per game

8.64

17-gm pace

147

Best / worst

18.3 / 4.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
113.710897000
29.812668000
37.84363000
45.07430000
55.26432000
65.94439000
94.36423000
105.63341000
118.96564000
1213.06450100
1318.36690113
1412.810439139
159.67571000
166.68445011
174.99639000
186.96544000