Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jakobi Meyers

JAX

WR27 · overall #71 · tier 6 · age 29

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Projected points

139

9.7/gm

Value over replacement

32

repl 119

Range

97–182

sd 42

Week

9.7

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
7.0
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
4.6
Rec yards / game
54
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.32
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.60
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.79
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

138.3

Per game

8.64

17-gm pace

147

Best / worst

18.3 / 4.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
113.7WR1610897000
29.8WR3712668000
37.8WR394363000
45.0WR577430000
55.2WR606432000
65.9WR434439000
94.3WR626423000
105.6WR453341000
118.9WR266564000
1213.0WR176450100
1318.3WR116690113
1412.8WR1710439139
159.6WR307571000
166.6WR488445011
174.9WR539639000
186.9WR326544000