Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Jayden Daniels

WAS

QB8 · overall #47 · tier 3 · age 25

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Projected points

265

21.0/gm

Value over replacement

59

repl 261

Range

225–305

sd 40

Week

15.7

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
35.0
Pass yards / game
242
Pass TD / game
1.62
Carries / game
9.5
Rush yards / game
43
Rush TD / game
0.33
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
19.5
Games of history
24
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.83
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.20
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PHI,DAL,SEA
Window matchup
-0.10
Opponents after
IND,NYG,SF
After matchup
+0.18
Flip edge
-0.28
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.71

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

7

Points

114.3

Per game

16.33

17-gm pace

278

Best / worst

21.6 / 2.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
120.119302331011680
219.72442200207170
517.11526231108390
621.619262113110520
717.71222156108351
915.216221530110511
142.792078014160