Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

RJ Harvey

DEN

RB32 · overall #89 · tier 7 · age 25

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Projected points

129

8.7/gm

Value over replacement

28

repl 110

Range

81–177

sd 48

Week

7.0

@ KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.9
Carries / game
8.2
Receptions / game
2.2
Rec yards / game
17
Rush yards / game
34
Rush TD / game
0.27
Rec TD / game
0.12
Total TD / game
0.39
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.1
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.24
OL pass protection
+1.55
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.38
Scheme creativity
+0.14
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.56
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
KC,JAX,LA
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
SF,LAC,SEA
After matchup
-0.37
Flip edge
-0.44
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.60

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

183.1

Per game

10.77

17-gm pace

183

Best / worst

23.6 / 2.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.4670011-10
22.958021160
33.122033140
417.81458054401
54.5412033180
64.524044210
76.74002121
823.674621151
914.125055511
102.84903290
116.51130033200
1319.71335243270
1419.01775166250
1510.5196511000
1620.1750154710
1716.11443065331
183.8152804150