Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Carnell Tate

TENROOKIE R1

WR32 · overall #83 · tier 7

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Projected points

138

9.3/gm

Value over replacement

31

repl 115

Range

99–177

sd 39

Week

8.9

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.7
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.7
Rec yards / game
49
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.33
Total TD / game
0.33
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.3
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.43
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYJ,PHI,NYG
Window matchup
-0.40
Opponents after
BAL,HOU,IND
After matchup
-0.34
Flip edge
-0.06
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.12

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Carnell Tate — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.