Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Kyle Monangai

CHI

RB38 · overall #135 · tier 7 · age 24

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Projected points

105

7.1/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 110

Range

70–140

sd 35

Week

6.8

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.0
Carries / game
8.4
Receptions / game
1.5
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
38
Rush TD / game
0.23
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.6
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.37
OL pass protection
+1.06
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.60
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CAR,MIN,PHI
Window matchup
-0.08
Opponents after
NYJ,GB,ATL
After matchup
+0.72
Flip edge
-0.80
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.46

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

137.7

Per game

8.10

17-gm pace

138

Best / worst

21.3 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.600011110
24.172803180
32.561601140
41.841800000
64.9519011250
716.41381132130
82.472400000
921.326176053220
108.872811000
1110.21223111140
1210.8124810000
1319.02213011000
148.2145702100
153.3113302000
1610.8950043430
176.283804390
185.4614011150