Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Cooper Kupp

SEA

WR71 · overall #152 · tier 10 · age 33

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Projected points

88

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 115

Range

31–145

sd 57

Week

5.9

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
3.1
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.26
Total TD / game
0.27
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.7
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
0.750
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.11
OL pass protection
+0.37
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.58
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NE,ARI,WAS
Window matchup
+1.28
Opponents after
LAC,SF,DEN
After matchup
-0.51
Flip edge
+1.79
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

92.8

Per game

5.80

17-gm pace

99

Best / worst

12.5 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
12.53215000
212.59790000
34.13231000
44.65426000
58.99659000
611.03240100
71.71132000
108.42274000
113.87323000
123.44224000
133.94324000
1410.53235100
157.17546000
165.44339000
171.1316000
183.93229000