Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Harold Fannin Jr.

CLE

TE7 · overall #75 · tier 2 · age 22

← back to rankings

Projected points

139

9.5/gm

Value over replacement

37

repl 111

Range

99–179

sd 40

Week

7.8

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
7.3
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
5.1
Rec yards / game
47
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.35
Total TD / game
0.37
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.8
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.07
Top player's share
63%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.88

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.53
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.38
Flip edge
-0.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.45

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

150.4

Per game

9.40

17-gm pace

160

Best / worst

21.4 / 3.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.197630
27.355480
34.043250
43.562240
59.344131
611.6107810
75.654360
815.486621
106.474440
113.652260
126.464400
139.853431
1421.41181141
158.5147480
1617.564341
1710.022301