WR
Garrett Wilson
NYJWR15 · overall #40 · tier 4 · age 26
Projected points
165
12.3/gm
Value over replacement
69
repl 115
Range
116–215
sd 50
Week
9.8
@ TEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 9.8
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 5.9
- Rec yards / game
- 70
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.40
- Total TD / game
- 0.40
- Games projected
- 13.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.3
- Games of history
- 58
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.19
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.44
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 6.43
- Top player's share
- 22%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- TEN,GB,DET
- Window matchup
- -0.61
- Opponents after
- CHI,CLE,NE
- After matchup
- -0.03
- Flip edge
- -0.58
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.12
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
7
Points
81.5
Per game
11.64
17-gm pace
198
Best / worst
19.4 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.0 | 9 | 7 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 19.4 | 13 | 10 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 17.2 | 8 | 6 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16.1 | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.8 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |