WR
Marvin Harrison Jr.
ARIWR22 · overall #63 · tier 6 · age 24
Projected points
147
10.6/gm
Value over replacement
47
repl 115
Range
94–201
sd 54
Week
7.9
@ LAC
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 7.6
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.4
- Rec yards / game
- 58
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.44
- Total TD / game
- 0.44
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 11.4
- Games of history
- 29
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 61.8
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.66
- OL pass protection
- -0.78
- OL continuity
- 0%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 88
- Effective contributors
- 3.31
- Top player's share
- 46%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.93
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LAC,SEA,SF
- Window matchup
- -1.53
- Opponents after
- NYG,DET,LA
- After matchup
- -0.26
- Flip edge
- -1.27
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.22
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
12
Points
107.3
Per game
8.94
17-gm pace
152
Best / worst
19.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.6 | 6 | 5 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 15.6 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 11.8 | 5 | 4 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.2 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.8 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 19.1 | 10 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 12.8 | 12 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 9.9 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |