Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Denzel Boston

CLEROOKIE R2

WR69 · overall #182 · tier 10

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Projected points

90

6.0/gm

Value over replacement

-17

repl 115

Range

64–116

sd 26

Week

4.9

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.0
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
34
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.98
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.12
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.14

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Denzel Boston — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.