Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Denzel Boston

CLEROOKIE R2

WR65 · overall #151 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

108

7.3/gm

Value over replacement

-3

repl 119

Range

78–139

sd 30

Week

9.3

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.2
Rec yards / game
42
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.26
Total TD / game
0.26
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.30
Flip edge
+0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Denzel Boston — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.