QB
Marcus Mariota
WASQB40 · overall #496 · tier 9 · age 32
Projected points
92
9.5/gm
Value over replacement
-66
repl 261
Range
57–128
sd 35
Week
5.5
@ PHI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 20.4
- Pass yards / game
- 142
- Pass TD / game
- 0.95
- Carries / game
- 2.0
- Rush yards / game
- 11
- Rush TD / game
- 0.07
- Games projected
- 9.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.5
- Games of history
- 28
- Age multiplier
- 0.966
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.83
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.20
- Scheme creativity
- -0.17
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- PHI,DAL,SEA
- Window matchup
- -0.10
- Opponents after
- IND,NYG,SF
- After matchup
- +0.18
- Flip edge
- -0.28
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.71
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
10
Points
125.5
Per game
12.55
17-gm pace
213
Best / worst
23.3 / -2.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 20.3 | 15 | 21 | 207 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 1 |
| 4 | 16.2 | 16 | 27 | 156 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 7 | 3.9 | 4 | 10 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 0 |
| 8 | 11.3 | 21 | 30 | 213 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 | 18.7 | 16 | 22 | 213 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 | 15.4 | 20 | 30 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 | 23.3 | 28 | 50 | 294 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 14 | -2.1 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 | 14.7 | 10 | 19 | 211 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.7 | 7 | 14 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |