Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Omarion Hampton

LAC

RB12 · overall #10 · tier 4 · age 23

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Projected points

198

16.4/gm

Value over replacement

116

repl 110

Range

150–247

sd 49

Week

15.1

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.3
Carries / game
18.9
Receptions / game
4.2
Rec yards / game
30
Rush yards / game
80
Rush TD / game
0.49
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.55
Games projected
12.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.1
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+1.19
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.96
Flip edge
+2.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.06

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

119.7

Per game

13.30

17-gm pace

226

Best / worst

25.0 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.11548022130
23.082402110
321.91970176590
425.012128155370
510.01244066260
1413.71356022111
157.0156101140
1616.01685121100
1716.01429188310