Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Jared Goff

DET

QB13 · overall #108 · tier 4 · age 31

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Projected points

255

16.4/gm

Value over replacement

13

repl 250

Range

209–300

sd 46

Week

20.6

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
32.7
Pass yards / game
251
Pass TD / game
1.73
Carries / game
1.7
Rush yards / game
4
Rush TD / game
0.03
Games projected
15.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
17.7
Games of history
68
Age multiplier
0.974
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
-0.11
Flip edge
+0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.28

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

297.1

Per game

17.47

17-gm pace

297

Best / worst

34.0 / 2.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
110.9QB233139225111-10
234.0QB1232833450160
312.7QB20202820210460
412.7QB22162716821000
520.1QB111923258302-20
616.8QB17232920320170
710.3QB22202924111270
919.4QB13253728420000
1024.8QB5253332030000
1112.1QB191437255111-10
1217.2QB9284227921000
1320.6QB72026256201240
1416.2QB142534309102-20
1525.5QB5254133830000
1626.5QB63454364301-10
172.1QB32182919712320
1815.2QB16274233111000