QB
Malik Willis
MIAQB33 · overall #176 · tier 8 · age 27
Projected points
126
14.7/gm
Value over replacement
-14
repl 261
Range
68–184
sd 58
Week
7.3
@ LV
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 25.2
- Pass yards / game
- 186
- Pass TD / game
- 1.14
- Carries / game
- 3.8
- Rush yards / game
- 17
- Rush TD / game
- 0.14
- Games projected
- 8.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.8
- Games of history
- 19
- Age multiplier
- 1.025
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.63
- OL continuity
- 72%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.07
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LV,SF,KC
- Window matchup
- -1.06
- Opponents after
- MIN,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.84
- Flip edge
- -0.22
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.93
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
4
Points
51.2
Per game
12.79
17-gm pace
218
Best / worst
31.5 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5.8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | 13.2 | 9 | 11 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 | 31.5 | 18 | 21 | 288 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 60 | 2 |