WR
Emeka Egbuka
TBWR12 · overall #32 · tier 3 · age 23
Projected points
182
12.1/gm
Value over replacement
70
repl 119
Range
119–245
sd 63
Week
8.7
vs GB
The take
written by hand
8.3 targets a game at 23 with draft capital behind him. The questionable tag is the only reason I'm not higher.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 8.9
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 5.1
- Rec yards / game
- 70
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.41
- Total TD / game
- 0.41
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 11.6
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.87
- OL pass protection
- +1.31
- OL continuity
- 80%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.51
- Scheme creativity
- -0.17
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.77
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- GB,DAL,PIT
- Window matchup
- +0.22
- Opponents after
- CAR,ATL,CHI
- After matchup
- +0.41
- Flip edge
- -0.18
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.64
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
164.2
Per game
9.66
17-gm pace
164
Best / worst
27.8 / 1.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.6 | WR3 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | 10.9 | WR32 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 18.1 | WR8 | 10 | 4 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | 27.8 | WR1 | 7 | 7 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.4 | WR68 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 7.8 | WR33 | 12 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.0 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 20.5 | WR4 | 13 | 6 | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.5 | WR44 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.7 | WR50 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 6.2 | WR43 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.5 | WR75 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 8.4 | WR38 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 4.5 | WR65 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.5 | WR71 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.3 | WR89 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |