Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

RB39 · overall #72 · tier 8 · age 25

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Projected points

98

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

42

repl 110

Range

54–141

sd 43

Week

0.0

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.2
Carries / game
12.6
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
19
Rush yards / game
52
Rush TD / game
0.61
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.64
Games projected
8.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.11
OL pass protection
+0.37
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
39
Effective contributors
2.27
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.43

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NE,ARI,WAS
Window matchup
+1.34
Opponents after
LAC,SF,DEN
After matchup
-0.16
Flip edge
+1.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

171.4

Per game

10.71

17-gm pace

182

Best / worst

25.2 / 1.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.7124710000
21.0151000000
411.4123912250
511.3936121120
64.21224011130
718.5124922260
95.1825011210
1014.3148310000
115.71137022100
129.563510000
1311.2145210000
147.6746032200
153.183101000
1615.4932144220
1725.218110222120
1817.21774143230