Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Chuba Hubbard

CAR

RB22 · overall #36 · tier 6 · age 27

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Projected points

172

12.2/gm

Value over replacement

75

repl 110

Range

133–211

sd 39

Week

10.2

vs CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.8
Carries / game
13.9
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
19
Rush yards / game
59
Rush TD / game
0.36
Rec TD / game
0.09
Total TD / game
0.46
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.6
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.31
OL pass protection
+0.20
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.67
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.06
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.36

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CHI,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
-0.30
Opponents after
DET,PHI
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

110.4

Per game

7.36

17-gm pace

125

Best / worst

19.4 / 1.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
116.41657053321
216.21038065391
38.6177303230
48.41049033200
76.51431032240
89.4123411000
91.751701000
102.031401110
113.342103170
126.3316044270
1319.41783022411
154.382901190
163.962701170
171.341203360
182.751002270