WR
Michael Pittman
PITWR39 · overall #108 · tier 8 · age 28
Projected points
123
8.3/gm
Value over replacement
17
repl 115
Range
41–205
sd 82
Week
7.9
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.4
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.2
- Rec yards / game
- 47
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.26
- Total TD / game
- 0.26
- Games projected
- 14.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.4
- Games of history
- 65
- Age multiplier
- 0.908
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 61.4
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.48
- OL pass protection
- +0.07
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.86
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.82
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- ATL,NE,CIN
- Window matchup
- +0.23
- Opponents after
- CLE,IND,TB
- After matchup
- +0.18
- Flip edge
- +0.04
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.03
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
162.4
Per game
9.55
17-gm pace
162
Best / worst
19.5 / 1.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17.0 | 8 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16.3 | 6 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.6 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 12.4 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 17.3 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 19.5 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 16.0 | 12 | 9 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 2.9 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 11.2 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 12.4 | 12 | 9 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.1 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 5.2 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |