Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Drake London

ATL

WR9 · overall #24 · tier 2 · age 25

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Projected points

190

13.3/gm

Value over replacement

83

repl 119

Range

124–256

sd 66

Week

12.1

@ NO

The take

written by hand

9.5 targets a game, behind only the top four. I'm WR6, the room's WR5, and I'm comfortable either way.

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
9.6
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
5.9
Rec yards / game
75
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.47
Total TD / game
0.47
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.6
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.77
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
+0.29
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
-0.28
Flip edge
+0.57
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

167.9

Per game

13.99

17-gm pace

238

Best / worst

34.3 / 0.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
19.5WR2815855000
24.4WR754349000
38.0WR388555000
421.0WR6108110100
626.8WR21610158100
76.2WR4510442000
934.3WR1149118300
1021.4WR186104100
1115.4WR1297119000
164.2WR698327000
170.9WR113214000
1815.8WR88478100