Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Drake London

ATL

WR6 · overall #24 · tier 2 · age 25

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Projected points

191

13.3/gm

Value over replacement

88

repl 115

Range

125–257

sd 66

Week

11.2

@ PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
9.5
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
5.9
Rec yards / game
76
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.47
Total TD / game
0.47
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.6
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.08
OL pass protection
+0.66
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
+0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.15
Play action / motion
18% / 65%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.77
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PIT,CAR,GB
Window matchup
-0.62
Opponents after
NO,BAL,CHI
After matchup
+0.31
Flip edge
-0.93
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.45

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

167.9

Per game

13.99

17-gm pace

238

Best / worst

34.3 / 0.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
19.515855000
24.44349000
38.08555000
421.0108110100
626.81610158100
76.210442000
934.3149118300
1021.486104100
1115.497119000
164.28327000
170.9214000
1815.88478100